Conventional thermal power will continue to dominate the supply mix in the Netherlands
6 August 2012, Electricity, Nuclear, Solar, Wind
The future electricity landscape is forecast to remain dominated by conventional thermal generation, albeit with an increasing element of renewable energy in the mix. Datamonitor expects that with the current rate of renewable project completion, the Netherlands will come close to having almost 20% of its total net production from renewable sources.
Conventional thermal power plants currently account for over 85% of power generation in the Netherlands. As in the UK, conventional thermal generation is expected to remain the primary source of electricity generation out to 2030, with natural gas making up over 30% of the generation mix in 2030. However, sources of renewable generation as well as nuclear will grow the fastest, but from lower bases.
Of note is Datamonitor's expectation that the Netherlands will change from being a net importer of electricity to a net exporter from 2013. Natural gas reserves currently exceed 38 trillion cubic feet and form the major source of conventional thermal power generation, far ahead of coal. Datamonitor expects that the lower natural gas prices will impact the import/export ratio such that the country becomes a net exporter, with a compounded annual growth rate of 16% to 2030 in net exports.
A second point of note is that nuclear generation is set to grow the fastest. Datamonitor forecasts that two new nuclear reactors will come online in the 2020s, leading to more than five times the level of generation in 2030 than at present.
By 2030, the share of renewable generation is expected to double to 24% of the mix. The balance of renewables is forecast to be quite different in 2030: the proportion of renewable generation that comes from wind will increase to 63%, up from 52% in 2012, to the detriment of bioenergy. In fact, generation from wind is forecast to be more than double the amount of bioenergy generation in 2030.
On the demand side, transport demand is forecast to grow the most, driven by a sustained increase in demand for electric vehicles. Commercial and industrial sector demand is expected to grow moderately. Residential demand is expected to grow very gradually, dampened in part by government-led energy-efficiency measures, smart metering, and more efficient electrical appliances.
- A New International Energy Charter fit for the 21st Century
Oil, Gas, 2 June 2015
- Nuclear and hydro will remain key to Sweden's energy future
Nuclear, Solar, Wind, 22 December 2014
- The budding Chinese-Polish shale cooperation
Oil, Gas, 17 December 2014
- Czech Republic's power generation heading atomic
Nuclear, Solar, Wind, 15 December 2014
- France to become Europe's biggest energy exporter
Nuclear, Solar, Wind, 11 December 2014
- Germany still set for nuclear phase-out by 2023
Nuclear, Solar, Wind, 4 December 2014
- Scottish energy industry survives major scare
Electricity, Nuclear, Solar, Wind, 22 September 2014
- Denmark and Germany lead bioenergy and solar power markets in Europe
Nuclear, Solar, Wind, 9 September 2014
- France outstrips the rest of Europe in nuclear generation
Nuclear, Solar, Wind, 8 September 2014
- Norway leads the way in energy self-sufficiency
Nuclear, Solar, Wind, 5 September 2014
- Natural gas and wind to meet majority of UK's energy needs
Gas, Electricity, Nuclear, Solar, Wind, 27 August 2014
- E.ON oil, gas, and power division increases profits to ?208m
Gas, Electricity, Nuclear, Solar, Wind, 20 August 2014
- Wind power to become Denmark's largest energy source
Gas, Electricity, Nuclear, Solar, Wind, 11 August 2014
- Big Six will double profits - but politics is to blame
Gas, Electricity, 5 August 2014
- Norway will export 32TWh of electricity by 2030
Electricity, Nuclear, Solar, Wind, 1 August 2014
- Australian parliament approves carbon tax cut
Gas, Electricity, 25 July 2014
- UK smart meters will soon be indispensable
Gas, Electricity, 23 July 2014
- Renewable the star player in Italy
Nuclear, Solar, Wind, 16 July 2014
- Portugal to become a net exporter by 2017
Electricity, 11 July 2014
- Smart energy: putting consumers first
Gas, Electricity, 10 July 2014